The long-awaited results of the 2020 United States Census are now available, and they reveal that America’s population is expanding and diversifying. Non-Hispanic whites currently account for fewer than half of the population in Texas and six other states.
Texas is also the main winner in terms of population growth. Since 2010, five states have added enough additional population to justify a new member in the House of Representatives, although only Texas has added two. It might have been three additional members if the Census hadn’t been rigged to undercount low-income and non-white communities.
The sorts of individuals that currently make up the electorate are crucial, especially since the Republican Party works hard to restrict voting rights and access to preserve control. The only thing stopping the omnibus package from stifling voting in Texas is that enough Texas Democrats have departed the state to deny the Texas House a quorum. If they return, the bill is very guaranteed to pass, and House Speaker Dade Phelan has promised not to bargain further.
A more diversified electorate, as well as the state’s population increase, maybe bad news for Republicans. Almost majority of Texas’ new population live in cities, which are becoming Democratic strongholds. Austin and Fort Worth, in particular, witnessed population booms that pushed them up to two spots on the list of largest U.S. cities.
People of color account for 95 percent of the population increase in Texas. Ten Hispanics have moved to the state for every white person who has moved there since 2010. Black Texans increased by 500,000, while Asian Texans increased by 600,000. While whites did not shrink, they did increase at a slow pace of fewer than 200,000.
Texas’ electorate is becoming increasingly non-white and urban, posing a challenge for Republicans. While Tejanos tend to vote more conservatively than Latinos, as seen in places like Webb County, where Republicans made big gains among Hispanic voters in 2020, Hispanic voters are more likely to vote Democratic in general. This is especially true in cities.
In an ideal world, the new congressional districts that the Texas Legislature will soon create will be in the Hispanic regions of Austin and Fort Worth to account for demographic increases since 2020. With control of the United States House of Representatives only a few seats away from shifting in 2022, it is almost likely not going to happen. Republicans have no motive to play fair, and the case will very probably end up in court.